Trump publicly backs Kalshi and Polymarket, where son Donald Trump Jr. is a paid adviser, as his administration sues states to block their regulation
On May 27, 2026, President Trump declared on Truth Social that prediction-market firms Kalshi and Polymarket "will thrive" under his leadership and that the federal government is "setting the rules of the road" as the "gold standard for the States," while his administration actively backs the companies against state regulators. The CFTC and Department of Justice have sued Connecticut, Arizona and Illinois — and contested Minnesota's first-in-the-nation ban — to block states from regulating the operators as gambling. Donald Trump Jr. is a paid strategic adviser to both firms and his venture firm 1789 Capital is a major Polymarket investor, so the favorable federal posture directly benefits the president's family.
Actors
- Donald Trump (President of the United States)
- Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)
- U.S. Department of Justice
"any friendly decision the CFTC makes on this industry could end up financially benefiting the president's family"
— NPR
On May 27, 2026, President Donald Trump used his Truth Social platform to publicly endorse the prediction-market companies Kalshi and Polymarket, writing that the firms "will thrive" under his leadership and that his administration is "setting the rules of the road" that are "the gold standard for the States." The post inserted the president directly into an escalating fight between federal and state authorities over whether the operators — which let users wager on the outcomes of elections, economic data and other events — should be regulated as gambling. Under Trump, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission has taken a deregulatory posture toward the operators, and the CFTC and Department of Justice have sued Connecticut, Arizona and Illinois, while contesting Minnesota's first-in-the-nation legislative ban, to assert that prediction markets fall under exclusive federal jurisdiction.
The endorsement is significant because of the Trump family's financial stake in the firms. Donald Trump Jr. joined Kalshi as a paid strategic adviser and later joined Polymarket's advisory board after his venture firm, 1789 Capital, made a strategic investment in the platform. Polymarket's valuation has risen roughly tenfold — to about $9.6 billion — since 1789 Capital invested, meaning that federal action favorable to the operators stands to benefit the president's immediate family directly. As NPR noted in its reporting, "any friendly decision the CFTC makes on this industry could end up financially benefiting the president's family."
The state lawsuits predate the Truth Social post: the CFTC and DOJ filed their suits against Connecticut, Arizona and Illinois on April 2, 2026, and Minnesota subsequently moved to ban the platforms outright. The May 27 endorsement is the news hook that crystallized the conflict between the president's public advocacy, his administration's litigation posture, and his family's financial interests. Because those family ties are publicly disclosed rather than hidden, the event is recorded as self-dealing and monetizing-office rather than as an undisclosed financial conflict — the president is using the powers and platform of his office in a way that advances private family interests. It is thematically related to other archive entries on family-benefit federal action.
Sources
- Trump supporting prediction market companies in fights with state gambling regulators — NPR primary accessed June 5, 2026
- Trump administration backs Kalshi and Polymarket as states move to ban prediction markets — PBS NewsHour secondary accessed June 5, 2026
- Trump administration sues three states over attempts to regulate prediction markets — NPR secondary accessed June 5, 2026
See also
- OGE Q1 2026 disclosures: President Trump conducted $220M–$750M in securities transactions while in office, including trades in companies — Nvidia, defense contractors, Intel — directly affected by his own administration's decisions
- Pentagon awards Dell ~$9.7B software contract weeks after Trump bought Dell stock and publicly promoted the company
- Pentagon awards $24M humanoid-robot contract to Foundation Future Industries, where Eric Trump is chief strategy adviser
- DOJ creates $1.776 billion 'Anti-Weaponization Fund' as part of settlement of President Trump's $10 billion lawsuit and related claims against the federal government
- DOJ order bars IRS from auditing Trump, his family, and their businesses for prior tax returns